Explainable Machine Learning for Radio Environment Mapping: An Intelligent System for Electric Field Strength Monitoring

The accurate characterization of signal propagation is critical for optimizing wireless network performance and supporting applications such as electromagnetic field (EMF) exposure assessment and the development of Radio Environmental Maps (REMs). This study proposes a novel, explainable machine learning system to predict electric field strength across diverse urban, semi urban, and rural environments in Cyprus. The system is trained on a rich dataset comprising 6,543 EMF measurements collected in 2023 at mobile phone and digital TV stations, following CEPT/ECC/REC/(02)04 recommendations. The dataset includes geospatial and environmental features such as antenna distance, population density, urbanization level, and detailed built environment characteristics (e.g., volume, surface, and height). We evaluate multiple machine learning models—kNN, neural networks, decision trees, random forests, XGBoost, and LightGBM—using a two-semester split for training and assessment. Best performance was achieved with the Random Forest model, which yielded the lowest RMSE among all models. Gradient boosting models (XGBoost and LightGBM) also performed well, with RMSE values slightly higher than RF while offering flexible and scalable configurations. In contrast, k-NN and neural networks showed higher RMSE values, indicating they were less effective for this specific task. Across all models, confidence intervals were narrow, demonstrating stable and reliable predictions. Explainable AI techniques revealed that antenna distance, building volume, and population density are the most influential predictors of EMF intensity. Our approach outperforms traditional signal models by incorporating urban morphology and demographic context. As part of this system, we also create a Geographic Information System (GIS) that displays electromagnetic field strength maps derived from our explainable machine learning models. This contributes a scalable, interpretable framework for EMF exposure mapping to support regulatory monitoring, urban planning, and smart city initiatives.