TY - JOUR
T1 - Forecasting chaos
T2 - AI-enhanced prediction of indoor climate dynamics
AU - Christakis, Nicholas
AU - Tirchas, Panagiotis
AU - Kokkinakis, Ioannis W.
AU - Drikakis, Dimitris
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier Ltd. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.
PY - 2026/3/5
Y1 - 2026/3/5
N2 - This research explores the use of advanced deep learning models to analyse and predict indoor climate dynamics, specifically temperature and velocity, based on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations in an air-conditioned room. Building on previous work that clustered sensor data into three representative zones, this study focuses on the temporal behaviour of these key positions. We compare Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, demonstrating that ANNs can achieve prediction performance comparable to LSTMs while offering faster inference and the flexibility to operate without strictly sequential data. A key contribution of this study is the identification of semi-chaotic behaviour in indoor environments: in cases where certain variables exhibit partial order, this underlying structure can dominate over chaotic fluctuations, enabling confident and accurate prediction. This insight enhances the understanding of predictability in complex systems and has significant implications for both scientific modelling and engineering applications. By leveraging hybrid physics-informed approaches through the integration of CFD-based insights with data-driven modelling, this work offers scalable strategies for optimising intelligent sensor placement, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, as well as predictive environmental control in smart building systems.
AB - This research explores the use of advanced deep learning models to analyse and predict indoor climate dynamics, specifically temperature and velocity, based on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations in an air-conditioned room. Building on previous work that clustered sensor data into three representative zones, this study focuses on the temporal behaviour of these key positions. We compare Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, demonstrating that ANNs can achieve prediction performance comparable to LSTMs while offering faster inference and the flexibility to operate without strictly sequential data. A key contribution of this study is the identification of semi-chaotic behaviour in indoor environments: in cases where certain variables exhibit partial order, this underlying structure can dominate over chaotic fluctuations, enabling confident and accurate prediction. This insight enhances the understanding of predictability in complex systems and has significant implications for both scientific modelling and engineering applications. By leveraging hybrid physics-informed approaches through the integration of CFD-based insights with data-driven modelling, this work offers scalable strategies for optimising intelligent sensor placement, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, as well as predictive environmental control in smart building systems.
KW - Chaos-Informed environmental control
KW - Hybrid CFD-neural modelling
KW - Turbulence-Aware deep learning
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105023827447
U2 - 10.1016/j.eswa.2025.130186
DO - 10.1016/j.eswa.2025.130186
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105023827447
SN - 0957-4174
VL - 300
JO - Expert Systems with Applications
JF - Expert Systems with Applications
M1 - 130186
ER -