Climate change is associated with extreme temperatures that can have severe effects on public health, in the form of heat-related mortality. In the present paper we perform a health impact assessment for mortality associated with extreme weather in Cyprus, during the months of April-September for the 6-year period between 2004-2009. Additionally, we estimate the potential health effects of higher summer temperatures, in line with climate change projections. The health impact assessment indicates a significant number of heat-related deaths, as well as a rapid increase in mortality for given temperature rise. Specifically, for an increase of 1°C over the baseline temperatures, heat-related mortality doubles, while for a 5 °C increase, mortality is almost 800% the baseline. It is estimated that these results can provide the necessary basis for linking accurate forecasts of extreme events with effective public health measures and interventions.
|Title of host publication
|Proceedings of the 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference
|Subtitle of host publication
|Intelligent and Efficient Technologies and Services for the Citizen, MELECON 2016
|Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
|Published - 20 Jun 2016
|18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016 - Limassol, Cyprus
Duration: 18 Apr 2016 → 20 Apr 2016
|18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016
|18/04/16 → 20/04/16
- Distributed Lag Non-linear Model
- Generalized Linear Model
- health impact
- temperature threshold