Health impact assessment for mortality associated with high temperatures in Cyprus

Tsangari Haritini, Heaviside Clare, Vardoulakis Sotiris, K. Paschalidou Anastasia, E. Georgiou Kyriakos, Kassomenos Pavlos, N. Yamasaki Edna

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Climate change is associated with extreme temperatures that can have severe effects on public health, in the form of heat-related mortality. In the present paper we perform a health impact assessment for mortality associated with extreme weather in Cyprus, during the months of April-September for the 6-year period between 2004-2009. Additionally, we estimate the potential health effects of higher summer temperatures, in line with climate change projections. The health impact assessment indicates a significant number of heat-related deaths, as well as a rapid increase in mortality for given temperature rise. Specifically, for an increase of 1°C over the baseline temperatures, heat-related mortality doubles, while for a 5 °C increase, mortality is almost 800% the baseline. It is estimated that these results can provide the necessary basis for linking accurate forecasts of extreme events with effective public health measures and interventions.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference
Subtitle of host publicationIntelligent and Efficient Technologies and Services for the Citizen, MELECON 2016
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9781509000579
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 20 Jun 2016
Event18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016 - Limassol, Cyprus
Duration: 18 Apr 201620 Apr 2016

Other

Other18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016
CountryCyprus
CityLimassol
Period18/04/1620/04/16

Keywords

  • Cyprus
  • Distributed Lag Non-linear Model
  • Generalized Linear Model
  • health impact
  • mortality
  • temperature threshold

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    Haritini, T., Clare, H., Sotiris, V., Anastasia, K. P., Kyriakos, E. G., Pavlos, K., & Edna, N. Y. (2016). Health impact assessment for mortality associated with high temperatures in Cyprus. In Proceedings of the 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference: Intelligent and Efficient Technologies and Services for the Citizen, MELECON 2016 [7495465] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/MELCON.2016.7495465