Abstract
Climate change is associated with extreme temperatures that can have severe effects on public health, in the form of heat-related mortality. In the present paper we perform a health impact assessment for mortality associated with extreme weather in Cyprus, during the months of April-September for the 6-year period between 2004-2009. Additionally, we estimate the potential health effects of higher summer temperatures, in line with climate change projections. The health impact assessment indicates a significant number of heat-related deaths, as well as a rapid increase in mortality for given temperature rise. Specifically, for an increase of 1°C over the baseline temperatures, heat-related mortality doubles, while for a 5 °C increase, mortality is almost 800% the baseline. It is estimated that these results can provide the necessary basis for linking accurate forecasts of extreme events with effective public health measures and interventions.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Proceedings of the 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference |
| Subtitle of host publication | Intelligent and Efficient Technologies and Services for the Citizen, MELECON 2016 |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |
| ISBN (Electronic) | 9781509000579 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 20 Jun 2016 |
| Event | 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016 - Limassol, Cyprus Duration: 18 Apr 2016 → 20 Apr 2016 |
Other
| Other | 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016 |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Cyprus |
| City | Limassol |
| Period | 18/04/16 → 20/04/16 |
Keywords
- Cyprus
- Distributed Lag Non-linear Model
- Generalized Linear Model
- health impact
- mortality
- temperature threshold