Long memory in the Portuguese stock market

Christos Floros, Shabbar Jaffry, Goncalo Valle Lima

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    Purpose This paper's aim is to test for the presence of fractional integration, or long memory, in the daily returns of the Portuguese stock market using autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA), generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and ARFIMA-FIGARCH models. Design/methodology/approach The data cover two periods: 4 January 1993-13 January 2006 (full sample), and 1 February 2002-13 January 2006 (that is, data are considered after the merger of the Portuguese Stock Exchange with Euronext). Findings The results from the full sample show strong evidence of long memory in stock returns. When data after the merger are considered, weaker evidence of long memory is found. It is concluded that the Portuguese stock market is more efficient after the merger with Euronext. Originality/value The findings of this paper are helpful to financial managers and investors dealing with Portuguese stock indices.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)220-232
    Number of pages13
    JournalStudies in Economics and Finance
    Volume24
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 7 Aug 2007

    Keywords

    • Portugal
    • Stock markets
    • Stock returns

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